The Blue Lemur blog has some interesting stuff about the variance in exit polls and actual results in states that use electronic voting machines and those that do not (or those that have them but with paper trails).
Exit polling accurately predicted the results in most states with very little error. Where there were discrepancies, they were significant in the +5 percent range, and always favored Bush.
No paper trails mean no way to contest this. Also interesting is how the AP ‘adjusted’ their exit poll data after they realized they were off by so much. I wonder how past exit poll accuracy compares to this year.
UPDATE (11-09-2004): More details just keep coming:
Don’t forget to vote tomorrow.
Find out where to go with this site: www.mypollingplace.com
Yes, everyone’s favorite batty as all hell conservative spokeswoman was grazed by a creme pie while giving a speech at the U of A in Tucson last night.
It’s really too bad they only got her shoulder. There’s a video of the incident up on iFilm, too.
The New York Times has an interesting piece that deconstructs the Bush / Kerry campaign stickers.
Bush / Cheney: Overall design conveys masculinity and supremacy.
Kerry / Edwards: Overall design is tentative. It conveys congenial subservience.
Unfortunately, I’d have to agree.
Right after the debate was over, I went out to some of the more popular political blogs out there to see what they thought of the debate. It seems that quite a few of them think that it was a tie, or bush came out ahead.
So then i hit up the news sites to see what people were saying in their online polls. . . and the results were quite a bit different:
President George W. Bush: 18% 18300 votes
Sen. John Kerry: 79% 81310 votes
Evenly matched: 4% 3834 votes
Now I know, I know, online polls aren’t accurate and all that crap, but I just thought it was really interesting that it was such a large gap between the two viewpoints.